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Big Brexit battle wasn’t any such thing

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It was supposed to be the big Brexit battle. In the long run, this morning’s Supreme Court ruling barely caused the costa rica government to blink.

The real fight comes later – principally in Scotland, and in?Dublin.

First, Theresa May must win parliament’s accept to trigger Article 50, formally notifying european union of your U.K.’s decision end. Very little one inch Westminster thinks by any means . an issue.

The House of Commons ought to be straightforward – my wife Labour’s support which is backed by?bulk of her very own MPs. Is know for Lords is theoretically a greater portion of a dilemma. But, probably not. Senior sources while in the upper chamber are adamant they won’t cause a delay.

David Davis, the Brexit secretary, told MPs this evening he’d bring forward a bill giving the costa rica government the power to trigger Article 50 within days. This might be, he said, “the most straightforward bill possible” – ideally, through the government’s perspective, one that is very difficult for MPs to amend by imposing qualifications within the government for parliament’s support.

At this stage, amending the balance is a only hope to your Remain guerillas wanting to lay obstacles while in the government’s approach to a difficult Brexit.?Amendments are usually laid by MP, but has to be accepted by way of the clerks of the House of Commons for being in the scope on the bill. To achieve success, most of MPs must coalesce contrary to the government, which implies in reality an amendment has to be held up by the leading opposition party or a good slice of the government’s MPs.

Scotland’s?only option is now a challenging break from Britain reely.

Amendments?that seriously bind the government’s hands – whether to keep Britain’s membership within the single market or offering a binding vote right after the EU exit negotiations – are non-starters. Folks don’t have enough support from the Commons at this stage. Depending on today’s Commons debate, an increasingly problematic amendment for May could be one?requiring the government to position a certified Brexit plan before MPs.

    Expect an invoice to get laid in the Commons by in a few days along at the latest, before moving as much as the Lords for approval following your February recess. “Out timetable to trigger Article 50 by the end of March still stands,” Davis told MPs. It’s difficult to check out anything diverting May because of this plan.

    The big battle, delayed right now, is now over Scotland. The last Court ruled the devolved administrations in Belfast, Cardiff and Edinburgh did not have a veto on Brexit – what the Scottish National Party is demanding.

    Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said another independence referendum was now “undoubtedly” closer. The irony, certainly, is the fact that Sturgeon is not going to need to call a referendum yet. Brexit removes the “soft independence” that was shared in 2014 when each party remained throughout the EU. The best option now’s a challenging break from Britain or nothing.

    The second fight is at Dublin, the place where a legal challenge is arrived, which is designed to force the European Court of Justice to rule on whether Article 50 is revocable. Should it be, the battleground shifts again.

    And whether MPs vote for Article 50 or you cannot (they may), they will still the opportunity to revoke it if your pm does not get a full deal from Brussels.

    The government’s position – laid out by Davis a couple weeks ago – is the fact Britain leaves the EU regardless if MPs choose one more deal agreed via the pm. However, British?governments?use a practice of adequate their way with judges – particularly European ones – so watch this space.

    This insight originates from Newsman‘s Brexit Files newsletter, an everyday afternoon digest of the greatest coverage and analysis of Britain’s decision to exit the EU. Read today’s edition or subscribe here.

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    Black caucus chairman pushes to censure Trump over ‘shithole’ remark

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    Congressional Black Caucus Chairman Cedric Richmond on Thursday introduced a solution to censure President Donald Trump over what he contends would be the president\’s racist rhetoric referring to El Salvador, Haiti and African nations as \”shithole countries.\”

    The resolution – who has much more than 130 co-sponsors, including House Democratic leaders – calls over the House to publicly state its support for any nations Trump disparaged, censure and condemn the president for his statements, and demand he retract his comments and apologize.

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    At a news conference announcing the resolution alongside House Judiciary Committee ranking member Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) as well as other Democrats, Richmond (D-La.) said Trump\’s controversial comments \”should have not been made\” and \”were factually inaccurate.\”

    Richmond conceded, however, the resolution isn\’t \”privileged,\” meaning House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) might need to say yes to carry it in order with the chamber to keep a vote. It\’s almost certain Ryan will not likely do this.

    \”If he doesn\’t, we then will be at other ways to just make a vote on there,\” Richmond told reporters. \”But the facts from the matter is definitely the speaker should bring it up. In the event that he doesn\’t, establishing is enabling and recurring to allow obama to perpetuate this hateful rhetoric, as well as at certain point – whether you agree or disagree – I believe this is the speaker\’s obligation to safeguard the dignity of the property.\”

    If Ryan will not allow a vote, Richmond said he among others would hunt for “creative” strategies to force one.

    Like most Republican leaders, Ryan hasn\’t said much for the president\’s reported comments, though he did acknowledge the other day that they are \”very unfortunate\” and \”unhelpful.\” For Richmond, however, that wasn\’t enough.

    \”It\’s unfortunate when I miss my bus. Or it\’s unfortunate in the event the airlines lose my luggage,\” he was quoted saying. \”But when the president of america decides to Africa, Haiti and El Salvador which he used, which isn\’t unfortunate. That is wrong. That\’s disgusting. That is definitely hurtful. There are a variety of words because of it, but unfortunate\’s undertake and don\’t.\”

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    Ryan's 2017 fundraising haul: $44 million

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    House Speaker Paul Ryan raised more than $44 million in 2017, an off-year record to get a House leader – a financial haul Republicans hope will shore up vulnerable GOP members in what\’s shaping up to often be a tough midterm cycle for Republicans.

    In a final quarter, Ryan raised $4.8 million, his political operation will announce Thursday – down from $6.7 million during the third quarter.

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    The infusion of greenbacks is a follower of Republicans passed a tax reform law last December, which GOP members said would drive support among voters and donors. But also in 2018, Republicans must defend its 24-seat majority spanning a broad battlefield, while President Donald Trump\’s approval ratings stay in the bottom 40s and Democrats hold a broad bring success the generic ballot. Nearly 24 retirements, including California Reps. Ed Royce and Darrell Issa latest research by, will force Republicans to invest more heavily to protect these open seats.

    In 2017, Ryan transferred $32 million to the National Republican Campaign Committee, which announced a unique record-breaking off-year total with $85 million raised in the last year. Ryan also transferred $1.7 million on to GOP members, as well as hosting 49 fundraisers for members.

    "This eye-popping number is usually a testament to Speaker Ryan, House Republicans, as well as the agenda them to led your strugle on in 2017," said Kevin Seifert, executive director of Team Ryan, the speaker\’s fundraising committee.

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    Bannon won't testify again on Russia Thursday

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    Former White House adviser Steve Bannon declined House Russia investigators\’ request to go back for a second interview Thursday, telling lawmakers through his lawyer their own obtain him to go back just 2 days after his first appearance was "unreasonable."

    "The Committee\’s subpoena provides require Mr. Bannon\’s appearance for that second deposition [Thursday] at 2pm. That may be plainly insufficient time for me to undertake precisely what the Committee has asked," Bannon\’s attorney William Burck wrote within a Wednesday letter to store intelligence committee leaders obtained by POLITICO.

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    Instead, Burck told committee leaders that the former senior aide to President Donald Trump would return after reaching an accommodation when using the White House to make sure his testimony doesn\’t violate executive privilege.

    On Tuesday, Bannon-citing instructions from your Trump administration-refused to reply Republican and Democrats\’ questions on his amount of the White House, the post-election transition team and in some cases about his conversations with the president after he was fired from his post in August. His stonewalling infuriated persons in both parties, who subpoenaed him immediately. But despite the subpoena, Bannon declined to reply to their questions.

    Burck\’s letter told the committee\’s top Russia investigators, Rep. Mike Conaway (R-Texas) and Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.), that Bannon remains ready to answer the committee\’s questions-but after striking an understanding together with the White House while on an acceptable scope of questioning.

    "There isn\’t any conceivable solution to talk to the White House Mr. Bannon\’s time using the transition and also the White House, obtain their thoughts about the knowledge he previously provide, communicate those views back to the Committee, relay the Committee\’s views time for the White House, and then negotiate or facilitate a binding agreement amongst the Committee along with the White House from the time allotted by the Committee\’s subpoena," Burck wrote.

    Committee members at the moment are weighing calling hold Bannon in contempt of Congress for avoiding their questions. They\’ve noted that White House lawyers haven\’t formally invoked executive privilege-they just have suggested that Bannon\’s testimony might implicate it.

    White House officials have argued that it is customary for Congress to coordinate the scope of the questions with current and former officials to stop violating privileged information.

    But GOP and Democratic lawmakers have questioned this argument, suggesting they see no reasonable interpretation of executive privilege that might preclude Bannon from discussing his time over the transition team, that is before Trump was president.

    Burck indicated that the committee didn\’t have use of White House and transition documents that has to be relevant precursors to the questions for Bannon and suggested lawmakers and Bannon would require time for them to produce them and review them before Bannon\’s next interview.

    "There are lots of lawyers over the Committee plus the Staff, and i also could well be surprised as long as they believed it becomes anything in addition to unprofessional even unethical should be expected to depose a witness that has did not have possibility for review relevant documents," he said.

    Burck also indicated a potential disconnect between committee staff and lawmakers. He revealed that he had informed the employees of the committee, chaired by Rep. Devin Nunes (R-Calif.), the White House "may not permit Mr. Bannon to discuss his in time the transition and the White House unless an accommodation was agreed between your Committee plus the White House."

    "Staff raised no objection to the telltale restrictions in any of such conversations," he said. "The main objection came yesterday within the Members who appear not to have been informed by Staff about our prior conversations."

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