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5 takeaways through the May-Trump talks

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WASHINGTON – This was the instant Theresa May came in person when using the great American bear.

Donald Trump was courteous, calm and funny while he held his first press conference which has a world leader since becoming president – pulling faces, joking with reporters and repeatedly praising a “most special relationship” using the U.K., ticking a similar diplomatic box every U.S. leader feels compelled to tick.

He looked pleased as May announced the Queen had invited him to Britain later this holiday season. The happy couple had already bonded with a bust of Winston Churchill, returned for the Oval Office after an eight-year sojourn inside less photographed corridors of the White House.

And nevertheless president was defiantly, unmistakably himself. I thought this was no watered down Trump, tamed through the necessary office.

When May reaffirmed Britain’s resolve forpersistance to sanctions on Russia, Trump would not. When May announced the U.S. president was “100 percent” committed to NATO,?Trump muttered “true” but anything.

On torture, he repeated his view so it worked. On Brexit, he said it had been “fantastic” that Britain was finally “free and independent.” The U.K. pm smiled at all the right moments, and will also be satisfied with Trump’s warm words for Britain, however, this was uncomfortable stuff.

It is, however, her new reality. Over 48 hours inside the U.S., the U.K. prime minister has indelibly tied her fortunes to individuals of the new man within the White House.

    Here are five takeaways within the opening scene of this strangest of political romances.

    1) Trump are not to be tamed

    If May?stumbled on Washington interested in reassurances on key diplomatic differences,?Trump’s press conference performance must be chalked up as a loss.

    May were able to extract one concession – on NATO – but only just. There was no commitment on trade, notably warm words for Russia and praise for torture. In Britain’s eyes: Poor quality.

    In her opening remarks, May pulled something like a diplomatic fast one, shoehorning in Trump’s private reassurance about his persistence to the NATO military alliance. They needed to try this perhaps says more about Trump’s real feelings around the issue.

    When pressed by U.S. reporters about his thoughts about Russia, Trump was defiant. “If you can possess a great relationship with Russia and China sufficient reason for all countries I’m all for that. Whenever we can, that would be an optimistic.”

    He went further. If relations between Washington additionally, the Kremlin are as nice as those relating to the U.S. and U.K. that could be great, he stated.

    British prime ministers?aren’t familiar with hearing that. An exclusive relationship isn’t so special if people have one.

    2) Quiet menace

    “That was selection for any question? There goes that relationship!”

    This was Trump’s reaction to a humdinger of your question with the BBC’s Political Editor Laura Kuenssberg, who pointed out his controversial opinion of Muslims, abortion and torture weren’t exactly popular some parts of the U.K.

    Trump’s response was funny – but more so, perhaps, given that it contained some truth.

    Downing Street clearly believes Trump responds well to praise and carefully choreographed every element of this week’s day at the U.S. accordingly.

    May decided of her option to hail his “stunning” election victory, declaring her delight at having the capability to congratulate him personally.

    But for the upcoming 4 years it’s clear you can find will be many treading on diplomatic eggshells.

    Trump was clear in her view that America has been ripped off and hubby would be the strong leader it must stand up for itself again, whether Britain wants it or you cannot.

    3) A vassal state?

    As May attained the White House, driven past?a procession of yankee flags and greeted by way of the president over the steps of your West Wing, it had become?just like a regional governor okay Rome to greet the?new emperor.

    French presidential hopeful Emmanuel Macron reports May’s tour within the U.S. exposes Britain’s status like a “vassal” state of your U.S. empire.

    But May is not a pushover and was going to make it known, contradicting obama on Russian sanctions and insisting could not are put off by confrontation. The U.K. prime minister’s visit wasn’t any Washington sideshow either. The vast East Room in the White House was filled with U.S. and British reporters, camera crews and TV anchors.

    But the eye was clearly not really on?what May was required to say, so how this most unpredictable of politicians would definitely behave – and just what he was going to do about Mexico, Putin and China.

    The U.K. may get its special relationship with Trump, nonetheless it remains unclear whether it will possess affect his wider behavior.

    4) Symbolism matters

    As each leaders walked from the East Room press conference over the White House colonnade into the West Wing for supper, Trump took the British prime minister by hand, patting it slightly.

    The president is not likely to try out that with Vladimir Putin.

    May looked untroubled yet it’s unlikely to be the picture she would like beamed time for Britain. She wanted warm but businesslike. That was not it. Despite the fact that image,?the talks transpired well when using the British press:?”Trump blesses Britain,” said changes. “Love-in in the White House” was the Daily Mail’s first page headline.

    The personal chemistry between the two leaders is vital. Nevertheless the relationship between their top teams is practically as esential for a functional, day-to-day level.

    At the press conference every one of the main players were in the room.

    Steve Bannon, the president’s ideological inspiration, started in smiling and shaking hands wonderful May’s top team, including ambassador Kim Darroch, whom he seemed to know well.

    Kellyanne Conway, Trump’s campaign manager throughout his run for president, was second row back. Sean Spicer barked instructions before the two leaders emerged.

    The night before, May held a drinks reception along at the British ambassador’s residence, giving her a chance to speak privately mostly of Trump’s key cabinet appointments including Pentagon chief James “Mad Dog” Mattis and Wilbur Ross – a man who, as Trump’s nominee for commerce secretary, can help negotiate the U.K.-U.S. trade deal on which May has placed a lot credit.

    The two teams were also present on the White House talks Friday and for lunch together with the two leaders afterwards (they had blue cheese salad, beef shortribs with potato puree and winter vegetables and also a salted caramel creme br?lee).

    5) Mayism takes shape

    From ribs in Washington with one strongman leader to coffee in Ankara with another.

    Direct from talks with president Trump while in the White House, May jets overnight to Turkey for talks with President Recep Tayyip Erdo?an.

    What either man does domestically appears of little interest to May. On the flight over to the U.S. May was asked what she’d because of represent Britain’s Muslim community in talks with Trump. Her reply involved anything that she could do on their behalf in your house. Pressed on whether she’d a responsibility to represent British muslims, she shot back which she what food was in Washington to represent the many Britain.

    To May, it will be the national interest at the very least. Human rights can wait.

    In her speech to Republican leaders in Philadelphia Thursday she declared get rid of liberal interventionism. On Friday she declared Mexico’s failures of Trump a subject for Mexico and Trump and none of her business. On Saturday could begin deepening the connection with Erdo?an in spite of his increasingly authoritarian turn.

    In a world of strong men, turmoil, Brexit and Trump, Britain’s second female prime minister is prepared to work with whoever looks gonna make the U.K. more secure, from both terror and economic shocks.

    This article have been updated to clarify Donald Trump’s solution to Theresa May’s NATO comments.

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    Ryan squeezed by conservatives on DACA vote

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    Supporters in the Goodlatte bill have pointed out that additionally, it had input from Homeland Security Committee Chairman Michael McCaul (R-Texas), House Freedom Caucus conservative Raul Labrador (R-Idaho) and centrist Martha McSally (R-Ariz.). Backers say leadership shouldn\’t ignore a bill by using these broad buy-in from GOP heavy-hitters.

    \”You\’ve got either side of your spectrum, however, for whatever reason countless overweight people have become a bit of internal debate over whether that gets towards the floor,\” said Republican Study Committee Chairman Mark Walker (R-N.C.). \”I\’m hoping that we are able to vote into it.\”

    The debate in regards to the House strategy may come as a bipartisan gang of senators has reached a proposal to develop a option to citizenship to the so-called Dreamers, after Trump decided a year ago to finish the DACA program and have to have a legislative solution instead. Trump, however, has panned the agreement being a \”step backwards\” and accused Democrats of hindering talks.

    Meanwhile, bipartisan agreement seemed even more off after Trump a while back told lawmakers in today\’s world they were going to encourage immigrants from places just like Norway, not countries they deemed \”shitholes.\” The heightened tensions will come with for the reason that government is scheduled to run beyond money Friday, raising the stakes for deal-making this week.

    Immigration can be another particularly thorny issue for Ryan. House Republicans drove out ex-Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) in part over immigration. Now conservatives have concerns Ryan will foist on the conference a bipartisan Senate deal that their base would consider \”amnesty\” for individuals that located the U.S. illegally.

    \”It\’s crucial that something pass using the majority of the majority on immigration out of the House,\” Freedom Caucus Chairman Mark Meadows (R-N.C.) said inside an interview. \”Just allowing the Senate to guide is yielding our voting card to our Senate colleagues.\”

    Trump\’s flirtation when using the Goodlatte proposal complicates things for Ryan. He gave a shout-out towards the bill during on-camera negotiations with Democrats a couple weeks ago Body the authors took being an endorsement from your White House.

    Sources near leadership, however, dispute that notion. They say the proposal goes past some areas the White House reports an immigration deal must address: a legislative alternative the DACA program, border security funding, changes for the way people will bring members of the family towards the U.S. and other visa program adjustments.

    The Goodlatte bill meets the many requirements but additionally would crack concerning sanctuary cities, tweak policies governing child migrants and asylum seekers, and wish companies to substantiate the legal status in their workers.

    The latter provision, generally known as E-verify, would put centrist House Republicans in swing districts in a difficult position. Some hail from heavily Hispanic districts where E-verify would disrupt agriculture businesses.

    But even when House moderates backed the Goodlatte bill, it\’s unlikely to have enough support while in the Senate, where Republicans have got a slim majority and 60 votes to feed immigration legislation. Some centrists in your house say it\’s pointless to consider this sort of controversial vote.

    \”Does the Senate even consider this bill? And if they don\’t, then what is the point?\” said Rep. Ryan Costello, a centrist from Pennsylvania.

    Ryan has never publicly eliminated a House vote on the Goodlatte text – though they have emphasized that any DACA solution ought to be bipartisan. Inquired about the check on a GOP press conference last Thursday, he the legislation \”constructive\” plus a \”good bill\” but may not say whether or not this would get floor time.

    Ryan deferred instead to ongoing talks between House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.), House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-Texas), and Senate Minority Whip Dick Durbin (D-Ill.).

    Nonetheless, the backers from the Goodlatte bill attempt to whip support. The authors presented a while back through the weekly Republican Study Committee meeting, and Goodlatte mentioned the matter on a closed-door GOP conference a couple weeks ago, asking leaders permitting a vote.

    Freedom Caucus member Dave Brat (R-Va.) predicted the \”huge push\” to discover the bill in the grass could well be successful. Labrador, amongst its authors, was less confident a week ago.

    Labrador said the \”only response I\’ve gotten [from leadership] is: \’Do we have now 218 votes?\’\”

    \”My solution to them is, \’Did now we have 218 votes when we did your state of health care bill?\’\” Labrador said, dealing with Ryan\’s original push to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Into your market was pulled from your floor in 2009 once it heats up became clear it did not have plenty of support to pass a.

    Eventually, House GOP leaders garnered enough support to feed an altered version of the Obamacare bill, and Labrador said they can perform the that is the immigration proposal.

    \”Their job is always to assist us to together with the conference to ensure this occurs,\” he stated. \”They should put it to use the bottom.\”

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    Flake compares Trump's treating press to Stalin's

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    Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) said Sunday that President Donald Trump\’s declaration that media is "the enemy within the people" can be a throwback to Josef Stalin that will do not have devote political discourse.

    "I\’m saying he borrowed that phrase," Flake told MSNBC\’s Kasie Hunt of Trump\’s choice of words. "It had been popularized by Josef Stalin, employed by Mao also – enemy of the person. It ought to be noted that Nikita Khrushchev who followed Stalin, forbade its use, on the grounds that was too loaded which maligned an entirely group or form of people, also it ought not to be done.

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    "I can\’t reckon that we should be using a phrase that has been rejected as too loaded by the Soviet dictator."

    One of your Republican Party\’s most vociferous critics of Trump, Flake didn\’t run for reelection after his popularity dove in Arizona, just as a consequence of his criticism in the president, that they expanded on his book "Conscience of a Conservative: A Rejection of Destructive Politics plus a Revisit Principle." Taking on the Senate floor to announce his decision to retire in October recently, Flake warned his colleagues to prevent adjust their tone to what\’s set at the very top as well as "don\’t ever accept the deadly sundering individuals country."

    On Wednesday, Flake will revisit the Senate floor to excoriate Trump and White House for their management of the press, prior to Trump\’s planned "fake news" awards. With regards to the speech, Flake said, is always to nudge the president back in the right form of behavior with regards to handling the press.

    "We not able to just retreat into camps like we\’re doing," Flake told Hunt on "Kasie DC." "Young people need to face up and say it is not right. This may not be normal."

    According to excerpts, Flake will say on Wednesday that 2017 was "per year which saw the facts – objective, empirical, evidence-based truth -more battered and abused than any other while in the history of our country, at the hands of the strongest determine our government."

    He will prove to add how the White House involved in an "unrelenting daily assault around the constitutionally protected free press was launched by that same White House, an assault that is as unprecedented since it is unwarranted."

    Addressing Trump\’s favored "fake news" insult, Flake will caution that "whenever a figure out power reflexively calls any press that does not suit him \”fake news,\” it is actually your skin who the treatment of anxiety figure of suspicion, not the press."

    "Individuals who travel overseas, especially to war zones and various troubled areas across the globe, encounter people in U.S.-based media who risk their lives, and sometimes lose their lives, reporting around the truth," Flake will say. "To dismiss their work as fake news is usually an affront to commitment along with sacrifice."

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    GOP tax law a one-two punch to charities — and American giving

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    Back in the year 2011, when Republicans still mentioned deficits, a bipartisan budget commission proposed of saving many billions annually by revamping the charitable deduction for federal fees.

    The plan ended up substitute a 12 percent tax credit available only to individuals who gave in excess of 2 percent within their adjusted revenues. The actual numbers were susceptible to fine-tuning, although the framework set three goals: lower the deficit, put middle-class donors on more equal footing with the wealthy and establish some minimum standard for generosity to receive a tax benefit.

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    This being Washington, the concept went nowhere. But what\’s surprising now could be how long Republicans are taking the region while in the very other direction.

    For to begin with of their lives, millions of middle-class donors will probably be effectively be indifferent to from claiming any charitable deduction below the GOP\’s new tax law. As well, the wealthy will receive a still larger share on the tax benefit, even though sacrificing a lesser share of their total income.

    Indeed, the few concessions by tax writers to enhance charitable giving are aimed toward the really luxury within the income scale. Fundamentally legislation that does more to market gifts to cover a grandchild\’s private schooling laptop or computer does to let the same grandparents to search outside themselves and gives on the local Boys & Girls Club.

    The unprecedented partisanship in the tax debate in Congress was remarkable alone. Though the negative impact on charitable giving touches something deeper inside the American character.

    Shared sacrifice by private citizens to enhance a limited government is actually a precious value for this nation like a participatory democracy. But what\’s happened here instead is actually a tax bill that tears when it reaches this fabric by denying a great number of households a vital incentive to rent and give more for their communities.

    \”This may be the one deduction that inures on the benefit for community but not the person,\” said Dan Cardinali, the 52-year-old president in the Independent Sector, a Washington-based coalition of charitable organizations, foundations and company giving programs. \”What was so obviously disturbing to all of us with that lens – tax policy should be helping a good democracy – this new bill effectively limits the incentive to simply the wealthy.\”

    Newly published data with the nonprofit Tax Policy Center aid to illustrate now. And also to better know the numbers, POLITICO did a writeup on the most up-to-date Interest rates tables for how taxpayers itemized their returns inside 2015 tax year.

    Among households while in the $75,000 to $100,000 income range, the TPC\’s tax model projects that 10.2 percent will still make the most of charitable deduction in the new law – down from 27.1 %. For people from $100,000 to $200,000, the drop comes from 50.7 percent to 19.6 %.

    Together that creates a 62 percent drop in the volume of these middle-class households benefiting from the charitable deduction – households that typically put in a greater number of their adjusted income than some wealthier brackets.

    By comparison, the type of earning over $1 million per year, in excess of three-quarters, or 77.6 %, will still benefit from the charitable tax deduction and also their already disproportionate share in the after-tax dollar benefit go up.

    For charities, the fallout within the tax bill comes from a one-two punch.

    First, among those who most be determined by middle-class donors, we have a real fear that receipts will drop since fewer families just might discover it practical to get the charitable deduction.

    Many households will certainly go on to donate some percentage of their income. But without having the deduction, the efficient \”price\” for giving increases. And there is significant empirical evidence -outlined in the May 2017 report because of the staff in the Indiana University Lilly Family School of Philanthropy – that that the will dampen future donations for both religious and secular groups.

    Republicans counter that any such loss are going to be offset by the fact that families has extra cash inside their pockets to contribute following the promised tax cuts. Emily Schillinger, a spokeswoman for House Remedies Committee Chairman Kevin Brady (R-Texas) said this way: \”Chairman Brady believes how the biggest encourager of charitable contributions is actually a strong economy. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act allows people to offer even more of their particular money to invest and contribute as they wish.\”

    In truth, it may take years prior to a full influence on receipts is evident. Although the second, great importance for charities is immediate and the other that can\’t be disputed.

    That is, shown during the TPC numbers, that this goverment tax bill skews the charitable deduction a lot more toward the rich and from the bulk of yankee taxpayers.

    This is the thing that most troubles Cardinali, an experienced community organizer. But it is the opposite of values that Republicans in Congress have long embraced themselves.

    In the bitter Farm Bill debate a couple of years back, for example, precisely the same conservatives wanting to cut food stamps often spoke of the contributions and volunteer work at local food banks. One of the top Republican tax writers in Congress, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch, comes from Utah, which shines due to its standard of private giving driven by traditions of your Mormon Church.

    But in the partisan rush toward passage in the tax bill, the GOP appeared to make one decision to another without having a full debate first to the combined consequences for charitable giving.

    Urged on because of the House, the Senate went together with proposals to flourish the standard deduction and eliminate the existing system of personal exemptions.

    The new standard deduction for joint filers might be $24,000, for example, twice the prior level. The truth increased benefit for households is not as much – because of the decrease of an individual can exemptions. But Republicans saw this as being an important as well as nonetheless toward their stated goal of simplifying the tax goal.

    Anticipating this fight, charities warned that expanding the typical deduction by a great deal will hurt their contributions by reduction of the numbers of households who itemize. However in their early spadework, the exact same groups wouldn\’t anticipate the next big change: the Republican decision to impose a different $10,000 cap on any itemized deduction for state and local taxes.

    \”It wasn\’t really with our calculus,\” said Cardinali. But the consequences were huge.

    The cap on state and local tax deductions may be a direct hit on high-tax Democratic states like Big apple, Nj and California. Because of this, a lot of the discussion has focused with the items critics say was really a partisan ploy to assist cover corporate tax cuts.

    But when along with the elevated standard deduction, the modern cap also greatly intensified the dynamics around charitable giving.

    Together they created a $14,000 gap that families ought to be in the position to bridge before it feels right to itemize and gain full accessibility charitable deduction.

    Those with large interest deductions for home mortgages may find that easier. However when POLITICO returned and checked out Internal Revenue Service data for that 2015 tax year, the numbers show it is really an uphill path for households earning not as much as $200,000.

    For itemized returns during the $75,000 to $100,000 range, the normal mortgage interest deduction involved $7,557. Amongst those between $100,000 and $200,000, the standard was simply under $9,000. Only in the $200,000 to $500,000 income bracket can it jump to just about $13,000 – closing the gap on $14,000.

    For sure, these numbers merely rough averages, meaning many households could yet claim an increased itemized interest deduction. Yet it\’s equally true that cut on interest rates have much less. In addition to the truth that prior to the cap on local and state tax deductions, a minimum of several tax returns capable to itemize charitable cash donations – if you don\’t take any deduction for mortgage interest.

    Consider, for example, a husband and wife earning $140,000 1 year. They may be the right age to obtain paid down their mortgage and used to giving $8,000 to $9,000 1 year to charity.

    With the state of hawaii and native tax break capped at $10,000, those donations would no longer get any tax break. In truth the pair might need to improve their giving to $14,000 – 10 % of their total adjusted income – a little bit of any tax benefit.

    That\’s half a dozen times both the percent threshold suggested in the 2011 bipartisan proposal and unlikely that occurs.

    But the same couple could take a look at creative options afforded in the new tax bill. Which is the spot that the $14,000 number features a familiar ring.

    That\’s because $14,000 also occurs from the federal gift exclusion rules that govern transfers of wealth between generations of the family. A grandparent can certainly create a tax-free $14,000 contribution towards a grandchild\’s 529 education plan, along with the new tax law allows those funds to be utilized for not just college but in addition private schooling.

    No penalty for your gift. No tax benefit in case the same couple gave $14,000 to charities to help you the more expensive community. Inside eyes of Congress and also the new tax code, means that neutral.

    Certainly, it adds new intending to the words: \”Charity begins at your house.\”

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